The best statistics (I)? - Since the beginning of second Dear all / os / is
The other day I was reading an article by Mr Super
Plaza on the status of the red house, and I were very impressed with the first sentence in the stating that "
Ferrari is the team with more history and better statistics in every sense ". Frase que supongo que él copió sin ninguna otra mala intención y que se encuentra distribuida por muchísimos textos. Es verdad que la escudería es la más vieja de todas las que hay hoy día, en este tipo de eventos, y que está allí desde el principio, pero lo segundo creo que es totalmente falso, como ya le puntualice al autor vía gorjeo.
El problema radica en el incultural
anumerismo que invade la sociedad española, y nos convierte en ciudadanos más manipulables e ignorantes. Pensemos en un número ... el cinco, por ejemplo que tiene una rima fácil, ¿Es big or small? Anybody can answer? No, no answer because we must contextualize this value. Another classic example is the owner of the newspaper, so often read of "Andalusia, Madrid and Catalonia have more complaints, more robberies, more shocks, more ..." it would be strange if the Rioja, with a small population, had the numbers quite as large as the previous regions, because these problems are related directly to the public. Then we should ask our newsletters that metiesen those numbers on a scale which normalize the values, so we are not deceived, misrepresented his for reality.
In Formula One, Ferrari sweep at all, in absolute numbers, but that does not mean anything because they were already there when others do not exist. I showed that the number of championships earned by the Ferrari drivers (since 1950), McLaren (since 1966), Williams (since 1977), Toleman, Benetton-Renault-Lotus (since 1981), Tyrrell-BAR-Honda-Brawn- Mercedes (from 1970) standard for the years they were in F1 led to that in the past four decades,
the team with better statistics was McLaren, winning a championship every 3.3 years, while the pace for Ferrari was 5 years.
With today's post I intend to extend this vision standard for Grand Prix victories from previous teams, which also add Stewart-Jaguar-Red Bull (1997) for aerodynamic reasons current and Lotus (1958 to 1994 ) for sentimental reasons historical, and also at the request of David. Before I begin, I note that under the heading of Mercedes are not counted the numbers obtained in the early years of F1, because that sports structure disappeared and has nothing to do with the current (Lies name); equally great achievements Prost do not appear under the name of Toleman, as the yellow Renault structure with which to achieve its results, was never correlated with Briatore's Renault. Only consider the structures that have remained over time regardless of the name who owned or currently own. And I absolutely refuse to call the green car Lotus Malay or black-gold Luxembourg, although a judge imposes me. Having this in mind, the absolute numbers of all equipment listed in Table 1, which is as follows (unless I made a mistake by telling that there were many different teams and many seasons!).
| Scuderia | GP played | races | Racing won | Poles | Fastest Laps |
| Ferrari | 813 | 1758 | 215 | 205 | 225 |
| Lotus | 493 | 1332 | 79 | 107 | 70 |
| McLaren | 685 | 1443 | 169 | 146 | 143 |
| Mercedes | 643 | 1304 | 32 | 22 | 24 |
| Williams | 540 | 1003 | 113 | 126 | 130 |
| Toleman | 492 | 975 | 47 | 36 | 52 |
| Red Bull | 242 | 484 | 17 | 21 | 12 |
| | | | | | |
Looking at the numbers (updated to the GP of China 2011) we see that Ferrari wins around the world. And without any other consideration, all the professionals sell us that Ferrari is the best in the world and some from abroad, either for loitering for contextualize these numbers or with the hope that we join your club, increasing the mass number, the influence of his group, the possible sale to fans, in short, their power. I must say, however, that in the Saxon and Germanic world that I know these crude attempts at penetration with little success, since the F1 there is a very promiscuous lives, changing the amateur pilot and engineer team predilection year to year. And in the worst case, the caring approach is always from an emotional standpoint
, for a gesture, a behavior or sublimated idea of \u200b\u200bwhat they represent, but not for reasons numeric. This is the typical behavior of most followers of football fans from Madrid and Barcelona, \u200b\u200bthey would not know enjoy the game by following Atletico and Espanyol, and they just enjoy to crush the enemy, no matter what.
But back to the numbers Do you think good and worship, to compare the overall results without taking into account certain standards? Do you think well they matched the strength of a child of three years with an adult of thirty years? Does it seem right that contrasted the push of a third line in the melee, with a pilier? Do you think Bruixa Sort, which sells about a third of the Christmas lottery (more than all the administrations of Galicia together), should be confronted with the door of your house? I think they are sufficient examples to think we are the absolute numbers sold to us constantly from the various pulpits, without a reference that allows us to equate them.
A possible normalization would know how many races, statistically, must play a car from a given team to achieve victory, pole and fastest lap. The lower the number the better the team. That number is easily obtained by dividing the number of races from race wins, pole positions and fastest laps, data displayed in Table 1 above. Note that each GP today played under him two runs, because every team has two cars, but historically this was not true and there were other possibilities, so I have chosen this ratio and not obtained the Grand Prix, although numbers follow the same trend. Using these calculations have the following table, which shows that Ferrari need to play just a little more than eight runs (8.2) in order to win one of them, while the numbers of McLaren and Williams were worse, but close.
Scuderia | | to win races | Pole to | Fastest lap to |
Ferrari | | 8.2 | 8.6 | 7.8 |
| Lotus | 16.8 | 12.4 | 19.0 |
| McLaren | 8.5 | 9.8 | 10.0 |
| Mercedes | 40.7 | 59.3 | 54.3 |
| Williams | 8.8 | 7.9 | 7.7 |
| Toleman | 20.7 | 27.0 | 18.8 |
| Red Bull | 28.5 | 23.0 | 40.3 |
| to races for | | | |
Someone, quite rightly, could argue that standardization above is not entirely neutral, and condemning those teams that historically have fewer cars in a Grand Prix, Ferrari favoring always put a lot. Well another possible normalization is to divide the results by number of seasons in F1, so we would get the statistical result is expected from a squad in a year. According to this normalization, the results of Ferrari we divide by the 60 seasons that have been participating in these events (three GP gift they already played in 2011), Lotus by 36 (it is true that began in the second round of the year 58 but this small difference does not affect large numbers), McLaren, 44 Mercedes 40, Williams 33, Toleman by 29 and Red Bull on 13. If we make this simple division, seasonal standard numbers displayed in the table below, and indicate clearly the best team is McLaren, with an average of almost 4 race wins per season in F1. But even my beloved Williams has better numbers than Ferrari, and why no one remembers who won the last race for these colors, or the fastest lap, let alone the last pole, and if that served the poor thing Montoya (Brazil-2004), Rosberg (Australia-2009) and Hülkenberg (Brazil-2010), various authors of these deeds.
| Scuderia | Carrera won to | Poles to | Fastest Laps to |
| Ferrari | 3.5 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
| Lotus | 2.2 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| McLaren | 3.8 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Mercedes | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Williams | 3.5 | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| Toleman | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Red Bull | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| to Seasonal | | | |
At this point the question is obvious, and more knowing than absolute numbers are not valid for comparison What is the proper standard? What can we say? Well, very clear, as there is little to say that statistics are not favorable to Ferrari. Although my friends say that standardization Ferrarista set out in Table second is teaching us the truth. I, for Williams' black sheep, I think the best standard is the third table, since it solves many problems of data homogeneity. But what is clear is that culture is more formulaunerística.
Why ignore who painted the Sistine Chapel is full of uneducated and do not know how to integrate an equation by parts is excusable with the phrase "I am of letters" ? Enough of the ignorant impose Science is Culture! ... even in the F1.
(PD. attack them in the coming days with the final re-normalization
)
Dear