The best statistics (II)? 1979-present Ferrari Dear all / os / is
The entry posted before I tried ginning this urban legend, repeated like a mantra, that Ferrari is the best at everything. Maybe it is, but as a lover of numbers I always like these govern my statements. And if we go by the titles won by pilots in terms of years leading the teams in the F-1, we saw that McLaren was the winner getting a title
every 3.3 years (Ferrari every 5 years) . Even if you look at other parameters such as the number of race wins, fastest laps or on poles or on the starting grid based on the years leading to different teams competing, we find that McLaren is the team that wins harvest (3.8 earned runs per year), Ferrari only reaches 3.5. While the glorious Williams is the team with the best average of poles and fastest laps in the race with 3.8 and 3.9 years, respectively, with corresponding numbers of 3.4 and 3.8 Ferrari.
According to these simple statistics in any way we can say that Ferrari is the team to follow. But like many of you know, like a good consparanoico suspicious even of my own assertions, past and present statistics and standardization of data where Ferrari was not so bad. At this point the question is: What is the proper standard?
If I read my dear and excellent teacher of mathematics in primary eye! That is not buttery, it is pure reality and also, I'm sure you had an equal or better, but not adequately qualified. Returning to Doña Concha, this problem sure to call me as little mud and parallel, and stretching from one ear I would go up on stage to tell my colleagues the reasons why I was wrong, but did not know it.
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| Is this response from a student Science or Free? |
Off the record, there was a time in Spain, young people today do not know, where the teachers were very linked to their students (and students we were with our teachers), in which teachers punished and rewarded the students. With the cheap psychology, that overwhelms us today, that has disappeared for the sake of not frustrate a child. Now brutalizes children and forbid them not at all, leaving to arrive in forty years without any trade, or profit or prospects (except unemployment) What is worse that a child of ten years he served (or not work hard enough) for what want or allow you to make the parallel to the forties, when you can not change your life, and then tell him that his title does not help because there are millions of people better than him, and who is engaged to sweep the desert? What is more cruel? Why subsidize college degrees if not many drones will never use?
But back to my childhood with Doña Concha, sure after getting on the stage, and blush on the cheeks on my part, she would ask questions until I give normalizations made that were not correct at all, because he had put in the same drawer things that were not comparable. Had joined pears and bananas, and around the world (to our university!) knows it can not be done.
The only way to correct the deviation in the normalization is to take only those years in which all computers (or most) were present in the competition. Thus any random variable in a season that appeared equally affected by all participants and no significant statistical weight. Comparisons begin in 1979, and at that time there were already four of the teams, namely Ferrari (1950), McLaren (1966), Tyrrell-BAR-Honda-Brawn-Mercedes (1970) and Williams (1977), and so there were only two, Toleman, Benetton-Renault-Lotus (1981) and Stewart-Jaguar, Red Bull (1997), forthcoming. The results present them as a winning percentage of a team in a given year, and in the form of graphs that are more intuitive. The first chart covers the period from 1979 to 1989. A quick glance at the chart shows that the teams McLaren and Williams clearly mastering these eleven years, with a little flash by Ferrari. If we dig into the numbers, we found that 13.7% of the races in that period were won by Ferrari. While McLaren is on average 31.8% of victories, with the year 1988 when the record all the thirty-two years examined with 94% (numbers not reached or the legendary Ferrari Dr. Byrne
). Williams to victory in 24.6% of the races held. The results of the other two teams (Mercedes and Toleman) were completely marginalized.
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A look at the graph of the nineties, and shows what we have in memory, or whatever it is, Williams was the dominant team with 37.9 victories during that decade. McLaren reached 26.9% and Ferrari only came to 16.7%, much similar to that obtained in the previous period. Draws attention to the results of Toleman in 1994 and 95, but this Toleman, Benetton good for the purists, is the team where Dr. Byrne was the top leader. And it is curious how, from 1996, Ferrari numbers begin to improve steadily Do you know why? Yes, Toleman Montezemolo had stolen her most precious treasure, its design engineer, and South Africa had begun to change the red rictus.
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The last graph shows the time that everyone remembers (or almost). The monumental collapse Williams, even to the death of electronics in Formula One, which reaches only 5.5% of the victories per year in that period. McLaren remains undaunted reaching 26.9% of the victories, and showing that the team is more regular and constant over time. And this is also the period invictus Ferrari with a 46.5% of the victories in the period. The early stage corresponds to the great Rory in front of Ferrari. Showing it after its abandonment, the designs were not as Costa good and, although the inertia allowed to remain competitive, the curve started to go down (negative slope), which is the first sign of deterioration of a situation, the percentage of victories in recent years similar to what we showed in past decades.
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is curious for Toleman. In 2005 and 2006 they won the Formula One drivers, not able to dominate in the number of victories. This gives us an idea that in any If your car (the design) was better than their opponents, but thanks to the strategy and the pilot, go! Thanks to Alonso and Briatore vilified, not so fast design could successfully compete with better cars.
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| Ferrari's mantra is like an ant on the Möbius strip |
is also worth noting the recent arrival of Red Bull, or rather Newey's designs to the old Stewart, who if you follow this path can become the dominant team of the decade we are starting.
In summary, this new approach, or normalization, in which I have only taken account of that period of time in which most teams have met on the tarmac, either Ferrari is the team with a best numbers since 1979 winning percentage per year is 25.9, while the McLaren is 27.6% and 22.2% Williams. Under no statistics, for any extended period, is Ferrari's best team. Only under President Byrne color red was the most important F1, and that was only in the first decade of this century.
Please, enough to proclaim and repeat ad nauseam that Ferrari is the best of all time, no numbers or statistics to support it. The only thing we can say is that it is the oldest, though ... else knows the old red devil by devil .
